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Tuesday, April 18, 2006

Unclassified Proposal for Able Providence

Here is a full copy of the unclassified proposal for a new effort designed to build on the successes of the Able Danger program. You might have seen Captain Ed's series of posts on this here, here, and here. This proposal has also been discussed publicly here, here, and here. My current understanding is that the Able Providence proposal is being worked, but it has not been fully funded, and there has been no progress on fixing the stovepiping, bureaucratic, or operational issues that the proposal was intended to address.

ABLE PROVIDENCE Executive Summary 25 May 2005

ABLE PROVIDENCE is the umbrella construct for creating the ultimate "situational awareness" capability that will allow decision makers, military operators and law enforcement superior speed and agility in order to identify, target and counter terrorist entities, individuals and organizations on a global scale. The objective of ABLE PROVIDENCE is to enable the national command authority to break cultural, interagency barriers and identify and seize decisive points in the global war on terrorism (GWOT) through the use of a proven methodology that blends technology, massive parallel processing of data to produce actionable information; creating a global "armored cavalry" capability.

ABLE PROVIDENCE will be established through three phases:

Phase I. Establish ABLE PROVIDENCE as element of the Director of National Intelligence, with joint oversight of the Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS). Using a cell of experienced operators, intelligence officers, information system experts, technologists, and planners, lay the foundation for the technology, location and authorities, to include creation of a "beta" test-bed capability. Cost: $2 million.

Phase II. Establish KIMBERLITE MAGIC. The follow-on and update to the original Special Operations Command (SOCOM) ABLE DANGER effort and National Operational Analysis Hub (NOAH) concept. Establish effective data mining and data visualization suites, combined with decision support software in the northern Virginia area. Establish open source and classified data pipes to populate the databases. Cost: $11.9 million.

Phase III. Establish partnerships with key military, homeland defense and law enforcement partners. Establish key relationships with National Counterterrorism Center (NCTC), SOCOM, Joint Forces Command (JFCOM), FBI, CIA, NSA, DHS (Customs/TSA, etc) and partner with Army 1st Info Ops Command (IDC), Army Asymmetric Warfare Group (ASW), Navy DEEP BLUE, Air Force CHECKMATE to produce actionable "Decision Support" Option Packets. ABLE PROVIDENCE would then "shepherd" packets that identify "decisive points" to operators or law enforcement. Cost $10.5 million.

Just as Brigadier General Buford and his cavalry seized and held the decisive high ground on the first day of the Battle of Gettysburg on the 1st of July in 1863, the pivotal point of the civil war, we need to establish an element that will serve as the global level intellectual "scout" to rapidly out think, anticipate and engage terrorist targets before they can engage us. ABLE PROVIDENCE will be that element and that capability to identify decisive points that will result in our ultimate victory in the GWOT.